AIExpires Dec 31, 2026

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Probability

38¢

+0.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$349.32

Liquidity

$10.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 01:00Apr 24, 2026, 23:16

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6000.7h
LOW
23:16Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6001h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
12:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventIPOs before 2027?

Category · AI

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket