Soft-Hardening
0x01a10b84cc968faf9e4ee37af00ce1c474b300e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
126
Open notional
$120.62
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19?
100 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$97.75
$1.55
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 19?
23 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$22.87
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
749 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
749 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
749 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
749 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
749 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
749 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
749 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
749 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 19?$22.85May 16, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19?$96.46May 16, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$122.00May 15, 19:18 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?$122.00May 5, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$90.25May 5, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$29.40May 5, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$121.00May 5, 01:03 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 2 - May 4, 2026?$121.00May 2, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$120.89May 2, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$120.95Apr 27, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$120.03Apr 20, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 19?$119.91Apr 20, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 19?$118.80Apr 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 12?$118.98Apr 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 12?$7.85Apr 11, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 12?$4.98Apr 10, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 12?$105.93Apr 10, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 9?$27.46Apr 10, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 9?$81.93Apr 10, 12:07 UTC
- REWARD$3.28Apr 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $176.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".