0x01a1c099fd1788d5badb8ead470054667863ed13
0x01a1c099fd1788d5badb8ead470054667863ed13
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1149 shares @ 0.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
444 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$444.06
$444.06
- NO
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23 shares @ 0.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.91
$22.91
- NO
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23 shares @ 0.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.87
$22.87
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
21 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.31
$21.31
- NO
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
18 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$18.21
$18.21
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 0.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.60
$17.60
- YES
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
17222 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
9245 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
8921 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.