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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Probability

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$980.87

Liquidity

$55.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.0pp 7d
Apr 17, 2026, 22:00Apr 24, 2026, 21:29
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1586.5h

    LOW
  • 21:29Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1587h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.1pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.1pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.8pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.8pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.6pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.6pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.8pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.7pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.7pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities. A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity. The following will not qualify: - Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity. - Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein. - Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
disputed
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: disputed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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