Epstein client list released by June 30?
Probability
6¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$980.87
Liquidity
$55.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1586.5h
- 21:29SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1587h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 6¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 6¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 6¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 7¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 7¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 7¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities. A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity. The following will not qualify: - Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity. - Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein. - Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- disputed
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: disputed
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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