Selfish-Issue
0x01bd27bb59185c88e272a3e75e67eb152b2e92ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$22.40
Total PnL
$-6.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- FINLAND
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$11.11
$9.11
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.77
$1.77
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 36.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.41
$0.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.39
$1.39
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 27.4¢·now 19.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$2.06May 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.03May 30, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.74May 30, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3.77May 30, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$4.76May 30, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$17.82May 30, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$2.03May 30, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Finland$2.05May 30, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.01May 16, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.24May 16, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.07Apr 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. Davos$2.03Apr 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.07Apr 28, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.62Apr 28, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.14Apr 28, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.04Apr 28, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.00Apr 22, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$4.27Apr 22, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$7.50Apr 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.00Apr 22, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.