Immaculate-Rebel
0x01c0651e21d44f238ca5cfaddecf2fd941b2b105
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$86.90
Total PnL
$-55.91
Realised
$-0.96
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 21?
40 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$39.98
$3.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?
35 shares @ 78.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$31.32
$3.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 23?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$15.60
$2.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?
30 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 8?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- OVER
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 23?$13.62Aug 21, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?$15.97Aug 21, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?$3.94Aug 21, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?$3.94Aug 21, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?$3.94Aug 21, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20?$10.00Aug 20, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 21?$36.95Aug 20, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 19?$20.00Aug 19, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19?$40.00Aug 19, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?$13.99Aug 18, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?$48.09Aug 18, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 20?$6.42Aug 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19?$8.30Aug 18, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19?$25.69Aug 18, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?$10.35Aug 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?$11.56Aug 18, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 17?$37.60Aug 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 19?$13.82Aug 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?$12.12Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?$10.22Aug 17, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.