Offensive-Volume
0x01ef26c3aa3ce2be21b6ad3320fcc4e74b725402
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$1.28
Total PnL
$-78.63
Realised
$-1.98
Win rate
0%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 2 Panama?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 1 Panama?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 1 Panama?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier$1.52Aug 3, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$1.01Jul 27, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A$1.02Jul 27, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.28Jul 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2.04Jul 26, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.72Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$1.02Jul 17, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 16, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 16, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$0.00Jul 16, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$0.00Jul 16, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$0.00Jul 16, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 16, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-15?$0.00Jul 16, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$3.18Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$1.03Jul 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$0.97Jul 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$1.03Jul 13, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$1.03Jul 13, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$1.03Jul 13, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
63 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 23:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.