Abandoned-Analog-Composite
0x01f1b89fabac1548cdb0f71d881c199ecef35a22
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$179.39
Total PnL
$2.89
Realised
$32.47
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
41 shares @ 90.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$37.71
$0.78
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
24 shares @ 60.7¢·now 88.8¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$21.23
$6.73
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
21 shares @ 94.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$20.55
$0.55
- NO
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
17 shares @ 90.7¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40 shares @ 29.7¢·now 32.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?
22 shares @ 27.6¢·now 38.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$8.36
$2.36
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
49 shares @ 30.4¢·now 15.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.81
$-7.19
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$5.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?
6 shares @ 87.1¢·now 90.1¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?$18.40Aug 19, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcus Rashford join Barcelona?$4.63Aug 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcus Rashford join Barcelona?$9.10Aug 19, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford join Barcelona?$4.73Aug 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford join Barcelona?$14.10Aug 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?$5.02Aug 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?$10.02Aug 19, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?$0.42Aug 19, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?$49.12Aug 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?$1.61Aug 19, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?$28.27Aug 19, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?$4.94Aug 19, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?$1.22Aug 19, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?$1.03Aug 19, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?$5.03Aug 19, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?$5.01Aug 19, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$20.06Aug 18, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.15Aug 18, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.25Aug 18, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?$0.04Aug 18, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 21:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.