0x01f7e4a2538cb2e2598ae0a96ade36b2dffe1f84
0x01f7e4a2538cb2e2598ae0a96ade36b2dffe1f84
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.19
Total PnL
$-9.59
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$3.45
$0.45
- NO
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
3 shares @ 63.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$3.13
$1.14
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.61
$1.61
- YES
Will MOUZ win IEM Krakow 2026?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 4?
22 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- NO
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
22 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- NO
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$0.01Feb 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01Feb 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.00Feb 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$0.01Feb 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01Feb 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.00Feb 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01Feb 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.01Feb 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01Feb 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01Feb 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.07Feb 16, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.07Feb 16, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?$3.00Feb 1, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MOUZ win IEM Krakow 2026?$3.00Jan 31, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 4?$3.66Jan 31, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$0.96Jan 31, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.