Weary-Switching
0x01fade396908964378190aa6d362716ca67a4ee4
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$48.00
Total PnL
$-767.84
Realised
$-28.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
160 shares @ 48.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.00
$-28.80
- YES
Iranian coup attempt before August?
950 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-114.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
834 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.04
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
571 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
350 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-262.50
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
240 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$66.00Mar 7, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$93.00Mar 3, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$48.78Mar 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$199.47Mar 1, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$201.75Mar 1, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$466.59Mar 1, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$5.54Mar 1, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$8.88Mar 1, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$10.50Mar 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$16.80Mar 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$42.27Mar 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$130.00Feb 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$200.00Feb 28, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$262.14Feb 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$50.04Jan 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.35Jan 12, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$76.80Jan 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$100.00Dec 22, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$156.00Aug 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$173.34Aug 19, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $103.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".