Harsh-Dahlia
0x024bb5aa8e4baea540726d615803318cebfa48b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$99.21
Total PnL
$-201.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 70.7¢·now 76.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$76.65
$5.95
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.45
$0.35
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
769 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.31
$-1.65
- YES
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.20Jul 23, 15:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.30Jul 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.11Jul 21, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$71.74Jul 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$11.59Jul 21, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.59Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.00Jul 20, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.16Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.75Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.13Jul 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.26Jul 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.61Jul 16, 22:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMEngland to score first vs. Argentina?$9.99Jul 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$7.68Jul 14, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$4.62Jul 12, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.