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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Oct 31, 2026

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability

13¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$349.92

Liquidity

$38.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4521h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4521.1h

    LOW
  • 14:55Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4521h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Oct 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’OrAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

20 wallets
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