0x024e1d4c3dfafef9f6c6029d53499ddd22f381e3
0x024e1d4c3dfafef9f6c6029d53499ddd22f381e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$506.25
Total PnL
$-189.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
566 shares @ 88.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$506.25
$6.25
- YES
Will another athlete win Gold in Men's Tennis?
360 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2024$0.00
$-27.00
- 150K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
62 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-34.64
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$504.06Jul 24, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$500.00Jul 11, 15:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$532.48Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?$58.04Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$500.91Jun 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high by December 31, 2026?$52.83Jun 22, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high by December 31, 2026?$178.40Jun 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?$56.14Jun 17, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high by December 31, 2026?$7.46Jun 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$476.82May 31, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$433.51May 27, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$153.43May 26, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $225.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.