Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?
Probability
84¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$10.20
Liquidity
$1.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 84¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1597h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1597.1h
- 14:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1597h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 84¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 84¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 84¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 84¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 84¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 84¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 84¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 84¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 84¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 84¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 86¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 86¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 86¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 86¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 92¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the STRC market cap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title at any point between the creation of this market and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The value used for resolution will be the “Market Cap ($M)” field, updated daily, available at: https://www.strategy.com/strc This market will resolve based solely on the data displayed on the Strategy STRC page. Data from other sources will not be considered for resolution.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jul 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).