Firsthand-Marsh
0x0268ffbe5db17f5b4f2f230b3f7bdb5f86a1638b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$470.51
Total PnL
$14.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
184 shares @ 81.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.99
$10.99
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$128.21
$28.21
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
129 shares @ 77.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$95.98
$-4.02
- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
1193 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.58
$-20.42
- YES
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$100.00May 26, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?$103.64May 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?$5.19May 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?$1.04May 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$100.90May 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$100.73May 9, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$50.38May 9, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $65.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.