Kindly-Reflection-Masonry
0x027375227757293a08577e50dc03f4734589ee73
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$86.32
Total PnL
$-25.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
178 shares @ 25.2¢·now 30.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$54.68
$9.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?
45 shares @ 33.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.05
$-2.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
11 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10 shares @ 51.9¢·now 51.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
31 shares @ 32.4¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.13
$-7.87
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
33 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$17.52Jun 30, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.01Jun 30, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.05Jun 30, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.09Jun 30, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.02Jun 30, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.02Jun 30, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$14.45Jun 30, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.09Jun 30, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.12Jun 30, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00Jun 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.19Jun 30, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.23Jun 30, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.17Jun 30, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$35.85Jun 30, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$25.07Jun 30, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.17Jun 30, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$10.00Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$26.56Jun 30, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.17Jun 30, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.