Pertinent-Vengeance
0x0275ac8f6793cc3ffe90dc1095330e240622b936
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$102.18
Total PnL
$-8.21
Realised
$70.24
Win rate
95%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 27.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.66
$2.18
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
12 shares @ 33.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.06
$1.22
- YES
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
64 shares @ 4.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$4.76
$2.20
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 19.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.26
$0.81
- NO
Labour leadership election scheduled by July 31?
77 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.06
$0.97
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
4 shares @ 34.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.99
$2.50
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.68
$-0.11
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
13 shares @ 28.2¢·now 29.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.65
$0.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.57
$0.22
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
12 shares @ 29.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.52
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$5.92Jun 24, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?$0.00Jun 24, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$3.85Jun 24, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?$1.29Jun 24, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$6.08Jun 24, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$0.01Jun 24, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?$2.80Jun 24, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?$0.05Jun 24, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?$3.10Jun 24, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$4.99Jun 24, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?$3.52Jun 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?$6.30Jun 24, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?$3.40Jun 24, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$3.54Jun 24, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.19Jun 24, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?$3.41Jun 24, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?$3.43Jun 24, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?$3.48Jun 24, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$3.60Jun 24, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?$2.55Jun 24, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.