Absolute-Carol
0x0282b57c62c76a734aa43ec2ad5c6d790181d571
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$59.72
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$156.37
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1360 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.96
$-36.04
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1983 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.76
$-71.37
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
36566 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-82.68
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
18474 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-711.37
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
7916 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-45.50
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
6489 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.33
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
5640 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 5?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$68.00May 18, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$68.48May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$59.39May 4, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$10.34Apr 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$52.23Apr 22, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$52.23Apr 22, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$55.52Apr 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$55.52Apr 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?$5.52Apr 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?$5.92Apr 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?$4.80Apr 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$4.80Apr 17, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 20?$3.76Apr 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?$1.00Apr 17, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$4.76Apr 17, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$2.52Apr 14, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$2.52Apr 14, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?$1.50Apr 14, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$1.50Apr 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?$1.39Apr 12, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".