Vain-Estate
0x0287f7ce09cec9219cf8eb02dbb9fc9dea7f9448
active
Quality score
76/100
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-584.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5600 shares @ 33.0¢·now 26.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-389.20
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-117.00
- NO
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
757 shares @ 88.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$632.44
$-37.06
- NO
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
377 shares @ 92.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$328.05
$-19.24
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
425 shares @ 82.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$319.01
$-29.77
- NO
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.50
$7.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.1712h ago
- YIELD$0.192d ago
- YIELD$0.203d ago
- YIELD$0.184d ago
- YIELD$0.185d ago
- YIELD$0.196d ago
- YIELD$0.227d ago
- YIELD$0.168d ago
- YIELD$0.209d ago
- YIELD$0.2210d ago
- YIELD$0.2511d ago
- YIELD$0.2012d ago
- YIELD$0.2313d ago
- YIELD$0.2114d ago
- YIELD$0.2215d ago
- YIELD$0.2516d ago
- YIELD$0.2117d ago
- YIELD$0.2818d ago
- TRADESELLBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$134.9518d ago
- TRADESELLEU dissolves before 2027?$1.0K18d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $370.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 39d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.