Immense-Stencil
0x02ae961846bcddb4bb74f7c866662b83ed11bad5
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$201.00
Realised
$64.65
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3453 shares @ 16.2¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$742.33
$182.27
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
447 shares @ 92.5¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$430.43
$16.70
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
805 shares @ 14.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$173.06
$58.04
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
121 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$111.22
$1.22
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
124 shares @ 71.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$101.16
$12.16
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
100 shares @ 88.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$91.69
$3.09
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
94 shares @ 63.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.02
$8.02
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
70 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.96
$9.16
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
122 shares @ 47.5¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$58.59
$0.59
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
102 shares @ 39.3¢·now 37.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.81
$-2.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$20.004h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$20.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.284h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$6.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$5.009h ago
- YIELD$0.1114h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.6219h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$1.2823h ago
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$49.1223h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$3.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$1.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$2.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$1.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$1.041d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
