Thorny-Absence
0x02af26a67f8807aa9fe0106bb0267e308a2f80c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.67
Total PnL
$-113.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 95.9¢·now 92.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.69
$-0.14
- NO
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.97
$-0.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 2PM ET
226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-113.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.98Apr 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.84Apr 10, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Apr 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.91Apr 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.91Mar 30, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Mar 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.93Mar 30, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.92Mar 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.92Mar 19, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Mar 19, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.92Mar 19, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 16, 2PM ET$113.14Mar 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Mar 16, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.93Mar 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.92Mar 13, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $10.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".