PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 7, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$18.1K

Liquidity

$1.8M

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:32
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $18.1k traded against $1.8M of visible liquidity (0.01× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 22230h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 22230.5h

    LOW
  • 17:32Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 22230h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventPresidential Election Winner 2028
Category · Politics

Market Description

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 7, 2028
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Associated PressNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket