Shimmering-Green
0x02b8cadb743843a7ae4e336c0a467e73f2793deb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$11.5K
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
59487 shares @ 10.2¢·now 13.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.2K
$2.1K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1658 shares @ 79.7¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.4K
$75.56
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2050 shares @ 61.2¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$-117.24
- NO
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
261 shares @ 60.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$220.21
$62.31
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$202.50
$-97.50
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4539 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$88.50
$-66.92
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
138 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.28
$-5.48
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
878 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$23.71
$-8.38
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
300 shares @ 12.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.75
$-18.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 14, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 14, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$127.19Jun 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$76.81Jun 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$440.40Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.97Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.91Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.24Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.72Jun 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.92Jun 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.23Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.18Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.12Jun 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$156.59Jun 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$74.25Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.23Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.29Jun 13, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $42.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.