Naughty-Demur
0x02b9fed37f850300659264f419e3a6f07cf6762b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 11?
218 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 1?
197 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?
124 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 27?
122 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24?
117 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 23?
111 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 16?
106 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 20?
71 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-68.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?
59 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 30?
51 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 16?$2.61Jul 16, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$85.59Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$82.85Jul 7, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 30?$1.91May 30, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$69.24May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$67.30May 24, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$80.00May 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$77.28May 17, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$82.52May 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$78.64May 7, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 27?$64.58Apr 27, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 27?$63.35Apr 27, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$66.67Apr 27, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$64.80Apr 17, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13?$71.22Apr 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13?$68.37Apr 13, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 11?$2.58Apr 11, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$58.51Apr 11, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 1?$1.38Mar 31, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$55.99Mar 30, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $39.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.