Grumpy-Friend
0x02bcba73683e6754544b974a1585f625cc981fd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$70.05
Win rate
74%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-112.00
- UNDER
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5
200 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-118.00
- UNDER
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5
200 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- UNDER
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-112.00
- UNDER
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-112.00
- YES
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?
200 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-59.50
- YES
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $760b and $780b on June 30?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5$10.00Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5$11.40Jul 28, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5$40.50Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5$49.00Jul 28, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?$20.99Jul 27, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?$10.57Jul 27, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill América FC vs. Goiás EC end in a draw?$3.07Jul 26, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?$3.62Jul 26, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?$20.65Jul 26, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill América FC vs. Goiás EC end in a draw?$20.50Jul 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?$20.52Jul 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?$20.56Jul 26, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$100.00Jul 25, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$50.00Jul 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$0.25Jul 24, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$8.74Jul 24, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMCuiabá EC vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 1.5$25.01Jul 24, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?$23.62Jul 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Athletic Club vs. São Bernardo FC end in a draw?$2.81Jul 24, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLCuiabá EC vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 1.5$17.99Jul 24, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
58 closed markets, 74% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $13.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.