Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

1. 1

   Up 44pp over 24h

   Now 67¢; -13.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Heavy volume on this book — 2.3× turnover

   $7.7k traded against $3.3k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

4. 4

   Wide spread — 7.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular announces that he and a partner are expecting a baby through pregnancy between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. This market will resolve based on the date of announcement, regardless of when the child is born. The resolution source will be statements from Clavicular or his representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.