Black-Deficit
0x02cefed891e241a49af30a008bd20ab4c91c2213
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$355.61
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-367.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
471 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$355.61
$44.74
- UNCW SEAHAWKS
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks
939 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-469.50
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
586 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-240.26
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
522 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-224.46
- YES
Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
449 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-107.76
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
426 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-251.34
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
221 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.52
- NO
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
125 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Lady Gaga win 1 Grammy?
119 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.42
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?$207.12Apr 27, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?$215.75Apr 24, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$7.80Apr 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$61.71Apr 12, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$73.92Apr 12, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$28.66Apr 12, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$42.92Apr 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.05Mar 26, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$267.24Mar 21, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$99.50Mar 18, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?$83.28Mar 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$83.74Mar 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$92.22Mar 17, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$140.80Mar 17, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?$69.40Mar 17, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$84.90Mar 17, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHoward Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks$469.50Mar 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$100.80Mar 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$259.80Mar 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?$7.42Mar 13, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $121.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.