Afraid-Court
0x02d14d75b401ccbe9d6147d5e41f4b2f67faa907
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$53.58
Total PnL
$-446.10
Realised
$51.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$30.00
$1.16
- YES
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$0.31
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.49
$1.90
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.82
$0.82
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.24
$-1.75
- YES
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$-6.88
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
1105 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-107.00
- NO
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
957 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
481 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$4.84May 6, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$4.84May 6, 07:04 UTC
- REWARD$94.15Apr 30, 00:30 UTC
- REWARD$99.65Apr 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$99.69Apr 27, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?$9.91Apr 19, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$11.14Apr 19, 05:26 UTC
- REWARD$18.81Apr 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.66Apr 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.76Apr 17, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Apr 15, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$149.70Apr 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$99.87Apr 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Apr 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.40Apr 13, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.78Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Apr 10, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$182.97Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Apr 9, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Apr 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $5.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".