Innocent-Lettuce
0x02efd1fc120c986ca57ebe4bafc13006b0a61f5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$38.82
Total PnL
$-68.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$22.98
$21.98
- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$8.00
$6.00
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.08
$2.08
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.81
$-4.19
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.58
$-1.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.82
- YES
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.12
$-1.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$0.00Feb 8, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$16.39Feb 8, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 5, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$1.00Jan 31, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 31, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.00Jan 31, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$2.42Jan 31, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 31, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 31, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$10.00Jan 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?$1.00Jan 31, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?$10.00Jan 31, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?$1.00Jan 31, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 31, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$3.00Jan 31, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $100 in January?$18.64Jan 31, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?$2.00Jan 30, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.