Studious-Normalization
0x032340ae0d5ab2f4ded0f286e9bef9752227a333
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$107.54
Total PnL
$-89.77
Realised
$-25.19
Win rate
28%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$59.81
$54.87
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
39 shares @ 12.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$38.95
$34.02
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.23
$0.28
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
41 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.12
$0.31
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
47 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.49
$-0.44
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.23
$-0.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
32 closed markets, 28% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $3.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.