Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Probability
23¢
1h
-3.0pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$14.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 23¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5242h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $14.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5242.0h
- 13:58SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5242h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:57PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 26¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).