Loyal-Longitude
0x032675be1aa8fd53e055a8fdbfe1b934208561cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$105.66
Total PnL
$-667.35
Realised
$-131.13
Win rate
2%
90 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.66
$5.66
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06?
41 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?
39 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?$10.00Aug 1, 15:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 90 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
90 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 90 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.