Silky-Geometry
0x032eb1bc893940263ad0b01889f262fc232f2a9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$97.4K
Total PnL
$-2.4M
Realised
$4.7K
Win rate
68%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OVER
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
43189 shares @ 45.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$19.7K
$35.80
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
35395 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$16.5K
$-882.93
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
34655 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$14.7K
$-173.28
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
14324 shares @ 76.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.1K
$131.92
- NO
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
10101 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$9.2K
$-50.51
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24178 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.6K
$284.57
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26589 shares @ 18.0¢·now 20.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.5K
$761.46
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
50529 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$5.3K
$-252.65
- YES
Brazil leading at halftime?
10601 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$4.5K
$-53.01
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?
17210 shares @ 11.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$2.0K
$-53.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?$11.30Jun 29, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco?$8.69Jun 29, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$45.18Jun 29, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$2.71Jun 29, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?$244.25Jun 29, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$13.55Jun 29, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?$0.88Jun 29, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$2.15Jun 29, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?$8.22Jun 29, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$7.23Jun 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco?$16.09Jun 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?$2.05Jun 29, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands leading at halftime?$4.73Jun 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$45.18Jun 29, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan leading at halftime?$177.40Jun 29, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco?$1.74Jun 29, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?$17.46Jun 29, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5$48.30Jun 29, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?$21.97Jun 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$2.87Jun 29, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$144.2K
Trades
5
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 15, 14:10 UTC → Jun 27, 20:36 UTC
- BUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$42.4K@86¢Jun 27, 20:36 UTC
- BUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$10.0K@20¢Jun 25, 19:23 UTC
- BUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$23.7K@54¢Jun 24, 19:57 UTC
- BUYSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$5.3K@68¢Jun 20, 04:02 UTC
- BUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$9.7K@78¢Jun 15, 14:07 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 12 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$76.1K
3 trades
30d volume
$91.1K
5 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
medium
12 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
$42.4K · 29% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $27.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.