Gloomy-Porcelain
0x036dfb2e3039855d61955ad0dc82b4a7f56b7cd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$124.14
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$9.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
40 shares @ 67.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$31.23
$4.23
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
108 shares @ 24.9¢·now 22.3¢·exp Jun 5, 2027$24.17
$-2.83
- YES
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
360 shares @ 13.9¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.69
$-29.31
- YES
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
51 shares @ 68.5¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.29
$-21.71
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 91.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.21
$-23.65
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
123 shares @ 32.4¢·now 7.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.94
$-31.06
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
326 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.64
$3.64
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
115 shares @ 41.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.35
$-41.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.81
$-4.19
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
231 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.81
$-126.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Jul 29, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$82.18Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$5.17Jul 27, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$50.78Jul 27, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$70.64Jul 27, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$29.13Jul 26, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Leclerc or Piastri?$20.68Jul 26, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$30.87Jul 26, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$5.22Jul 26, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$27.00Jul 25, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$127.80Jul 24, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$28.01Jul 24, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?$58.49Jul 24, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$40.69Jul 23, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$57.09Jul 21, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$40.48Jul 21, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$29.98Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$10.33Jul 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$41.08Jul 19, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$50.00Jul 19, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $46.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.