Gloomy-Porcelain
0x036dfb2e3039855d61955ad0dc82b4a7f56b7cd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$146.21
Total PnL
$-998.78
Realised
$9.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 54.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.75
$-19.25
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
115 shares @ 41.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$27.14
$-20.21
- YES
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
51 shares @ 68.5¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.40
$-16.60
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
145 shares @ 13.8¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.49
$-5.51
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 91.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.83
$-22.03
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.31
$-19.69
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
57 shares @ 53.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.68
$-26.32
- YES
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
26 shares @ 19.3¢·now 9.8¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$2.54
$-2.46
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
266 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.07
$-148.93
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1091 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$50.58Jun 3, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$71.66Jun 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$77.00May 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30.00May 25, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$25.00May 25, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$132.31May 24, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$48.19May 24, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$50.73May 19, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$88.92May 14, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$43.48May 3, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$20.32May 2, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$145.87Apr 29, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$14.54Apr 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$70.00Apr 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$73.06Apr 17, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$48.00Apr 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$100.00Apr 17, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$149.25Apr 13, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$44.00Apr 8, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $66.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.