Giant-Impediment-Chapter
0x037979b8373464d93c9a6c506eae495be76f2aab
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-675.52
Realised
$-25.71
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
138 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 29?
103 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-51.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?
103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?
103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?
103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 29?
103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 29?
103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?
103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 1?
69 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 29?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on June 1?$0.03Jun 1, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on June 1?$0.34Jun 1, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on June 1?$0.14Jun 1, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 1?$0.07Jun 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 1?$0.45Jun 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 1?$0.60Jun 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 1?$1.00Jun 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 1?$0.71Jun 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 1?$2.28Jun 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1?$1.29Jun 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?$9.93Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 1?$3.12Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 1?$9.54Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 1?$7.35Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 1?$6.86Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1?$5.54Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 1?$5.05Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 1?$6.63Jun 1, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?$7.60Jun 1, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?$11.45Jun 1, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.