Constant-Cranberry
0x0387b38bbd5d84670bf8adbbf14129653f1462d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$3.46
Realised
$52.58
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
501 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$481.34
$6.28
- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
279 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$275.93
$2.37
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$248.75
$6.00
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
220 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$218.66
$1.76
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.90
$3.70
- NO
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
200 shares @ 89.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.50
$16.11
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
141 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.49
$0.69
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
160 shares @ 31.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.60
$74.51
- NO
Will BMO fail by end of 2026?
117 shares @ 97.5¢·now 90.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.70
$-8.55
- NO
Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?
105 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$104.79
$4.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$223.52Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$120.00Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$5.11Jun 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.89Jun 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$9.00Jun 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$28.98Jun 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?$78.67Jun 12, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$70.00Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$50.00Jun 10, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$0.29Jun 9, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$7.79Jun 9, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$21.62Jun 8, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$4.10Jun 5, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$0.97Jun 5, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$7.20Jun 5, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$2.71Jun 5, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$4.84May 31, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$10.00May 31, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?$4.25May 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?$1.00May 30, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $17.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 04:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.