Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $18.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents MicroStrategy. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.