Biodegradable-Veto
0x0388b11c99920b71bde8233655cd277fbef06f05
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$120.97
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Vincent Keymer Win the Sinquefield Cup?
280 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$243.60
$-8.40
- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 28, 2026?
245 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$221.72
$1.22
- YES
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?
245 shares @ 94.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$207.02
$-23.27
- NO
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
245 shares @ 90.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$175.17
$-45.32
- NO
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
169 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$156.03
$-2.70
- NO
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 18, 2026?
108 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$103.63
$2.11
- YES
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
104 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$103.11
$5.50
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$95.50
$7.50
- NO
Will Tim Wilkins be the FL-11 Republican nominee?
85 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$81.43
$1.61
- NO
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
82 shares @ 94.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$63.27
$-14.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on August 28, 2026?$220.49Aug 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win the Sinquefield Cup?$36.65Aug 15, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?$200.12Aug 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on August 18, 2026?$7.52Aug 15, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on August 18, 2026?$15.67Aug 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on August 18, 2026?$78.33Aug 14, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on August 26, 2026?$51.70Aug 14, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on August 22, 2026?$65.08Aug 14, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$136.95Aug 14, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?$80.00Aug 13, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?$20.00Aug 12, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$221.37Aug 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee?$244.99Aug 12, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?$8.77Aug 11, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?$18.83Aug 11, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vincent Keymer Win the Sinquefield Cup?$253.26Aug 9, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$128.73Aug 8, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$47.00Aug 8, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$30.39Aug 8, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$145.79Aug 8, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $81.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.