Deserted-Suggestion
0x03a9c7bf8e461bcecb1caa00e3f46f466d799514
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$50.25
Total PnL
$-46.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.69
$2.69
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.92
$0.92
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.59
$0.59
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.28
$0.28
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tesla say "SpaceX" during earnings call?$3.77Jul 22, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla say "SpaceX" during earnings call?$2.04Jul 20, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20?$2.05Jul 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Trillionaire" during Minneapolis Rally?$2.05Jul 20, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Tariff" during Minneapolis Rally?$1.03Jul 20, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times during Minneapolis Rally?$1.04Jul 20, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Trump" 5+ times during Minneapolis Rally?$5.11Jul 20, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Data Center" at Defense and Innovation Summit?$0.00Jul 20, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$0.00Jul 20, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$13.29Jul 19, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$5.12Jul 16, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$1.03Jul 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation?$1.03Jul 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during Speech to the Nation?$1.04Jul 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?$2.06Jul 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?$1.03Jul 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?$1.03Jul 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 15+ times during Speech to the Nation?$1.04Jul 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?$1.03Jul 16, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" at Defense and Innovation Summit?$4.17Jul 16, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 23:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.