Muffled-Integration
0x03ba71eba55bd541d948f6bba86342e8880491c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.18
Total PnL
$-98.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.75
$-2.25
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$6.72
$-3.28
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.71
$-7.29
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
434 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
379 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDeel CEO jailed in 2025?$0.68Nov 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?$10.00Nov 12, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?$10.00Nov 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$10.00Nov 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$10.00Nov 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeel CEO jailed in 2025?$5.00Nov 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCluely $1B valuation in 2025?$5.00Nov 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$10.00Nov 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$35.08Nov 10, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMOregon vs. Iowa$26.67Nov 9, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?$1.90Nov 8, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOregon vs. Iowa$20.00Nov 8, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$20.00Nov 8, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$10.00Nov 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$10.00Nov 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$3.24Oct 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?$6.88Oct 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$51.54Oct 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?$10.00Aug 31, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $14.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.