GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Probability
25¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$534.60
Liquidity
$11.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4991.0h
- 01:00SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4991h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 28¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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