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OtherExpires Nov 19, 2026

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Probability

25¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$534.60

Liquidity

$11.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4991.0h

    LOW
  • 01:00Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4991h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 19, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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