Rare-Netball
0x03e1b2a5d7dc3685e6f6273842a32328d271e180
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-922.90
Realised
$25.47
Win rate
54%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?
90 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$83.10
$1.17
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?
85 shares @ 87.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$73.20
$-0.69
- NO
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
458 shares @ 22.6¢·now 14.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$64.17
$-39.21
- NO
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
125 shares @ 31.4¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$58.34
$19.01
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$52.08
$2.08
- YES
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
97 shares @ 43.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$50.16
$8.19
- NO
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.11
$-0.88
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$49.10
$-0.89
- YES
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
74 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$48.89
$-1.10
- NO
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
206 shares @ 22.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$46.35
$0.85
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.31Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$11.54Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?$37.50Jul 21, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$50.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament$7.59Jul 21, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$11.84Jul 21, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?$34.54Jul 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$12.68Jul 21, 19:12 UTC
- REWARD$11.93Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$3.96Jul 21, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament$1.56Jul 21, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament$3.85Jul 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.70Jul 21, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.96Jul 21, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$2.80Jul 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$2.80Jul 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?$20.91Jul 21, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $9M committed to the RipCars public sale?$13.26Jul 21, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $9M committed to the RipCars public sale?$6.71Jul 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$50.00Jul 21, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
54 closed markets, 54% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.