Loading shell…
GeopoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Sep 20, 2026

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Probability

40¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.5pp

24h Vol

$47.01

Liquidity

$15.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3541.9h

    LOW
  • 10:05Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3542h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 20, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Federal Assembly of the Russian FederationOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).