Kaleidoscopic-Chestnut
0x03f992605508d60e39beee5eb1b89fab108f0113
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$134.62
Total PnL
$-495.06
Realised
$115.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$100.70
$0.70
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
51 shares @ 81.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.91
$-7.09
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?
5137 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-48.99
- YES
Spain snap election called in 2025?
700 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
499 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
288 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.62
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
266 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$114.76Apr 20, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?$10.00Apr 18, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$84.61Mar 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$62.55Mar 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$212.12Mar 14, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$100.00Mar 14, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$119.48Mar 14, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$73.60Mar 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$100.00Mar 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$100.00Mar 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?$356.42Feb 27, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?$200.00Feb 27, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?$100.00Feb 27, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$10.00Feb 26, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 26?$104.17Feb 26, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 26?$105.36Feb 26, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 26?$232.56Feb 26, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLState of the Union Bingo - Card 1$61.27Feb 26, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 26?$100.00Feb 26, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 26?$100.00Feb 26, 08:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $90.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".