0x03fc4b236a4a0f38778995af59207f774faf0b04
0x03fc4b236a4a0f38778995af59207f774faf0b04
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$29.86
Total PnL
$-88.36
Realised
$-14.31
Win rate
9%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.61
$2.49
- NO
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.92
$-0.06
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$0.33
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.70
$0.22
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.58
$0.08
- NO
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.43
$-0.06
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.42
$-0.08
- NO
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.40
$-0.09
- NO
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.40
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.04Apr 27, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?$0.04Apr 27, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.04Apr 27, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?$0.05Apr 27, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.04Apr 27, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?$0.05Apr 27, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-26?$0.04Apr 27, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.