Pale-Victory
0x04039b3e116a67715eb5a13c1486724ed66ca7ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$11.3K
Total PnL
$1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.8K
$715.52
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3000 shares @ 49.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.1K
$-369.41
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1000 shares @ 80.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$980.50
$178.00
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
650 shares @ 84.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$594.75
$45.75
- NO
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
630 shares @ 85.2¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$586.89
$50.38
- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
485 shares @ 90.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$467.38
$27.63
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
500 shares @ 83.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$447.50
$29.30
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
400 shares @ 86.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$388.20
$43.20
- NO
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
379 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$316.41
$5.56
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$270.00
$90.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$28.64Jun 13, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$4.75Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$75.92Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$123.44Jun 13, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$4.79Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$160.00Jun 11, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$200.00Jun 11, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$212.50Jun 11, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$30.00Jun 8, 04:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.92Jun 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$189.40Jun 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$70.00Jun 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$24.91Jun 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.09Jun 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.70Jun 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.76Jun 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$15.00Jun 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.76Jun 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.76Jun 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?$61.71Jun 7, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $42.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.