Sneaky-Chair
0x040d8677d088056b672dbe6c7d49ad73a42f1a5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-86.7K
Realised
$506.54
Win rate
74%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
4485 shares @ 17.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$695.22
$-70.56
- UNDER
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5
2267 shares @ 33.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$668.67
$-86.95
- $3,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
1167 shares @ 60.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$524.93
$-182.83
- UNDER
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
1900 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$522.50
$142.50
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
1527 shares @ 21.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$374.06
$52.89
- YES
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2889 shares @ 68.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$216.67
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1300 shares @ 27.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$201.50
$-153.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
1296 shares @ 64.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$181.45
$-651.10
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
754 shares @ 56.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$131.95
$-294.67
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
1125 shares @ 42.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$57.96
$-414.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$67.40Jun 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$2.60Jun 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$0.50Jun 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$0.50Jun 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$3.40Jun 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$305.60Jun 22, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5$516.19Jun 22, 01:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$55.15Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$1.0KJun 22, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5$1.0KJun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.98Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$10.29Jun 21, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$1.5KJun 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$16.00Jun 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$233.09Jun 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$11.41Jun 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$2.76Jun 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$178.99Jun 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$2.0KJun 21, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 13, 19:10 UTC → Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- BUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$5.3K@89¢Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
38 closed markets, 74% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.3K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
$5.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $159.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.