CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Probability

41¢

-1.0pp

24h

-3.5pp

24h Vol

$7.9K

Liquidity

$61.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:53

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6017.1h
LOW
11:53Signal
Signal · Momentum down
Probability moved down 3.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover.
LOW
11:53Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6017h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
17:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.5pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.5pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 8.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.5pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.5pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 8.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Jan 1, 2027
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket