Shadowy-Opossum
0x041dd543dac781c204da5ac440c5a95c87c022f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
97
Open notional
$40.24
Total PnL
$-446.80
Realised
$-1.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
76 shares @ 26.1¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
26 shares @ 39.2¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.69
$-2.31
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.87
$-0.13
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.69
$0.69
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
80 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$-1.77
- YES
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-1.50
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05May 26, 10:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".