0x04438d30974fdd4a8826c342960ec078af522221
0x04438d30974fdd4a8826c342960ec078af522221
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$234.26
Total PnL
$-197.18
Realised
$-59.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
1408 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.44
$-20.41
- NO
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
316 shares @ 51.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.89
$-93.16
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$29.23
$-0.84
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
2 shares @ 76.4¢·now 84.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.60
$0.15
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.09
$-0.76
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?
50 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.14Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$913.36Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$29.49Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$73.94Jun 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$73.94Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$101.46Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$43.71Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$156.13Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$294.86Jun 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$53.61Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$78.50Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$27.74Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$53.61Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$291.03Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$117.42Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$30.06Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.0KJun 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$939.98Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$0.96Jun 13, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $180.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.